USL Odds, July 10
The final matchday of the Prinx Tires USL Cup group stage!
We are reaching the final stages of a very important cup competition this weekend, of course I am referring to the last matchday of the Prinx Tires USL Cup! While some teams’ fates are already confirmed (congrats to Colorado Springs and Tampa Bay for clinching their groups), we still have plenty other games left to wager on with lots to play for! Take note of the group standings when evaluating games to bet on, as there may be a few dead rubber matches among them. Best of luck to your bets!
As always, make all wagers at your own discretion, any bet you make should be made at your own risk. Only view these options below as potential choices to bet.
All odds were from Bet365 as of Friday, July 10th.
Previous Week Recap:
Here are the bets that paid off from last week’s article:
USLC: Loudoun v Jacksonville BTTS - Yes/Over 2.5 total goals (1.90), Rhode Island v Orange County BTTS - Yes (1.83), Louisville v Hartford Draw halftime result (2.37), Louisville v Hartford BTTS - No (1.90), Colorado Springs v Phoenix BTTS - Yes (1.66), New Mexico to score first (1.90), New Mexico win or draw, over 1.5 total goals (1.83), Las Vegas win or draw halftime, Las Vegas or El Paso to win (1.86), Las Vegas v El Paso Over 2.5 total goals (1.66), Miami v Birmingham BTTS - Yes
USL1: Naples v Portland Over 2.5 total goals (1.80), Sarasota win or draw halftime, Sarasota win or draw fulltime (1.57), NY Cosmos v Greenville Over 2.5 total goals, Greenville ML, Chattanooga win or draw halftime, Fort Wayne ML, Charlotte win or draw first half, New Mexico win or draw, Sarasota win or draw (2.14)
Parlay: Rhode Island v Orange County, Colorado Springs v Phoenix, Las Vegas v El Paso each BTTS - Yes (4.80), Louisville v Hartford, Pittsburgh v Brooklyn, San Antonio v Monterey Bay each BTTS - No (7.00)
Beyond USL: Orioles ML (1.83), Braves ML (1.86), Blue Jays ML (1.76), Marlins at Athletics over 10.5 runs (1.86), Giants at Rockies over 11 runs (1.90), Joey Chestnut to win by 15+ hot dogs (1.50), Morocco ML (1.75), Mbappe (FRA) ATGS (1.66), England to qualify (1.72), Kane (ENG) ATGS (2.50), BTTS - Yes (2.00), Top Ford: Ryan Blaney (2.00), Denny Hamlin top three (1.80), Ty Gibbs top ten (1.55), Kyle Larson to beat Tyler Reddick H2H (1.95)
USL Cup
Oakland v Spokane
2.10 - 4.00 - 2.60
A matinee kickoff to get us started on Saturday, as Oakland play host to Spokane. Currently in second of the group, Spokane have a chance to stake a claim as the runner-up of this group with a win, though the chances of being the best second place team look a bit more hazy with numerous current second place teams in front of them. But Oakland could leap over Spokane with a win themselves, in a match where getting a good performance in might be more important than the result itself. In a second ever meeting of these two teams, Oakland will be looking for their first ever win against Spokane (Velocity won 2-1 in this fixture last year in the Cup). My pick here is to back Oakland, as they face a Spokane team who have not won any of their last eight road games, and are currently just one win in their last five games played, both stats across all competitions. And for an Oakland team without a win at home since May 9th, this match provides an opportunity to put in a good showing in front of the Roots home support.
Bet: Oakland ML (2.10)
Pittsburgh v Loudoun
1.80 - 3.40 - 3.80
Two teams coming off rather interesting results last week with this match tomorrow night. Both sides’ hopes of advancing are either likely finished (Loudoun) or needing a lot to go right (Pittsburgh). For the hosts, Pittsburgh lost 2-0 to Brooklyn last week at home, ending a six match unbeaten run across all competitions for the Riverhounds and their first home defeat without scoring a goal since May 2nd. Loudoun played out a thrilling 2-2 draw with Jacksonville last week, as the team still looks to put a third win across USL and USL Cup play on the board this season (with no wins since June 6th when they beat Richmond in group stage play). Simply put, Pittsburgh need a win in this match and to outscore Charlotte’s losing result later, to have a chance to advance. I just don’t see this Riverhounds team putting more goals in the back of the net than Charlotte (who might very well give Charleston a good game later as the two clash for the Group 6 lead), but this Loudoun team have been struggling of late to find that win, that I do trust Pittsburgh with the result more.
Bet: Pittsburgh win or draw, Under 2.5 total goals (2.50)
Greenville v Richmond
1.85 - 3.60 - 3.40
Another chapter of this longtime USL1 matchup will be written tomorrow night with both sides having nothing more to play for in this game than pride, as each sit at the bottom of Group 6. For Richmond, they need any amount of a good result to go their way, as the Kickers are searching for their first win in all competitions since May 9th (against Greenville away no less), while the Triumph are carrying a two match clean sheet streak into this match. Both sides may approach this match looking for any performance they can use to build momentum and carry it into the league season next week to jumpstart each club’s league campaigns. I feel more confident in Greenville than I do Richmond as it stands, but I do wonder how motivated for the match both of these teams might be.
Bet 1: Draw at 90’ (3.60)
Bet 2: 0-0 correct scoreline (12.00)
Hartford v Westchester
1.30 - 5.00 - 7.00
Hartford will be looking to book their ticket into the knockout rounds, to defend their USL Cup title once more, with a win over Westchester. The visitors enter this match at the bottom of the group standings, having lost three games in a row for the first time since June 6th. Westchester are also one of four teams to have not won any of their three group stage games played in this competition as well. Hartford picked up a come from behind draw last match against Orange County with two second half goals after trailing 2-0 at half. It’s a simple task ahead for Hartford, win and advance to knockouts, and for the club who have only conceded one goal in this group stage already, I think they will.
Bet: Hartford ML (1.30)
Portland v NY Cosmos
1.61 - 4.33 - 3.80
Well done Cosmos for picking up a win on Wednesday, defeating Naples 1-0 to end their seven match losing streak. Though they are out of the competition here in the Cup already, they can possibly play spoiler for their opponents (and also check how well they measure against another possible playoff chasing team) this weekend. Portland have recorded back-to-back wins in the league entering this match, first time since September of last season that Portland have won two consecutive games as well. If these teams are not tired of playing each other yet, we now have a third match this season between the clubs (which saw the two previous games finish by a scoreline of Portland 3-1). While I think it’s unlikely we will see Portland in the next round, I am willing to make this bet our “lottery ticket” pick of the week and choose a scoreline—picking history to repeat itself once more.
Bet: Portland 3-1 NY Cosmos scoreline bet (13.00)
Charleston v Charlotte
1.61 - 3.80 - 4.33
Arguably the main match of the evening in this final group stage matchday! Winner takes the Group 6 crown, the loser likely has quite the case of being the best second place finisher. A meeting of two Carolina neighbors in the Lowcountry as Charleston hosts Charlotte. Though they are off a 0-2 loss last week to Indy Eleven, I still have not lost the faith in this Charleston team, especially at home where they have not lost all season. Enter Charlotte, who are unbeaten in all competitions over their last 13 matches played in that time, scoring in each one, eight of those games seeing the Independence go over 1.5 team goals scored. Immediately, this game is a clear over 2.5 total goals pick, and as much as the odds might tempt me into a Charlotte results bet, I think the likelier outcome is backing the team who have not lost a home match since inside 90’ played since May 2025.
Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals (1.57)
Bet 2: Charleston ML (1.61)
Fort Wayne v Detroit
3.80 - 4.33 - 1.61
Alex Ashton had an article this week speaking about how stellar Fort Wayne have been this season, and we saw that last week as they took apart a Spokane team 3-0 at home. While this group stage has not gone to plan for Fort Wayne, who play out this final matchday on just one lone point to their name, it’s a chance to test themselves against one USLC’s better clubs in Detroit tomorrow night. For Detroit, they need a win, a Louisville loss (among other results) and lots of goals to make up the deficit they need to advance from this group stage. Though, Detroit are unbeaten in their last five games played inside 90’ across all competitions. While Fort Wayne have yet to lose a home match since the official move to Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, I think a Detroit team with more to play for, will be too much for Fort Wayne, but don’t expect the hosts to go away too quietly against Detroit.
Bet: Fort Wayne win or tie halftime, Detroit win or tie fulltime (2.30)
Rhode Island v Brooklyn
1.50 - 4.10 - 5.00
To my own surprise, I did not expect this match on the final group stage matchday, to turn into a battle for knockouts in the group. Brooklyn to their credit have put six points on the board thus far and a win (coupled with Hartford dropping points) could very well see them advance. But don’t count out Rhode Island so easily in this match, especially since Rhode Island have already beaten Brooklyn 4-1 this season (May 23rd). The last three RIFC games have been BTTS - Yes, while Brooklyn’s last three road matches has yet to see the New York club drop points. One stat that will be to Brooklyn’s benefit is being the group’s current highest scorers (8 goals). With that as a notable tiebreaker, Brooklyn will put themselves into a great position with a win in this match. All that being said, Rhode Island have lost at home just once all season, showing how tough of a ground this still is to visit. Brooklyn will put up a good fight, but backing the hosts in this match.
Bet: Rhode Island win or draw, Over 2.5 total goals (1.83)
Sarasota v Miami
3.20 - 3.90 - 1.83
From their midweek match against Greenville, Sarasota are now on a streak of two consecutive clean sheets (and three of their last four games keeping a ball out of the back of their own net) for the first time in club history. However finding that goal has come as more of a challenge for the Paradise, as they have not scored in two consecutive games for the first time since April. Miami, bolstered by a returning World Cup heroes of Room and Locadia, played out a 1-1 draw with Birmingham last time out. Furthermore, Miami are still within a chance of finishing as the best second place team of the group stage, but it has to start with a win tomorrow night. For these southern Floridian sides meeting tomorrow night, Sarasota will be back at home seeking their third straight win at home while Miami are hoping to end a four match losing run. I think with the visitors having more to play for, I have to back them on this pick.
Bet: Miami ML (1.83)
Tampa Bay v Naples
1.28 - 5.50 - 6.50
I was already backing the Tampa Bay Rowdies, winners of Group 7 confirmed, to win this match against the bottom of the group FC Naples at the start of this week. However, even with the announcement of Naples making a change at manager (what losing to the NY Cosmos does to a team), naming Zak Gordon as the interim as Matt Poland exits the club, I still feel very confident in the Rowdies in this match. Perhaps Gordon will use this match as almost a “friendly” to get a feel for his squad, test out new formations and tactics, or perhaps the Rowdies will use this match in the same manner. All that being said, I still expect Tampa Bay to win this match, but it then becomes a question of, by how much you are feeling brave enough to pick them by.
Bet: Tampa Bay -1.5 (1.75)
Birmingham v Tulsa
1.85 - 3.60 - 3.40
With second place likely at stake for both Birmingham and Tulsa tomorrow, there is still all to play for from this fixture. Given Tulsa’s history of switching conferences seemingly every other year, these two teams have built up some history against each other, with eleven previous meetings, and an even split of results from those games (4 wins apiece and 3 draws). The last five meetings of these teams have gone BTTS - Yes too, so if your book offers that wager, I’d say take it. Birmingham are winless in their last five games played (each game BTTS - Yes), and have conceded the opening goal in four of those five games played. Tulsa sat idle last week due to rainstorms postponing their scheduled match in the league against Sacramento, so the Oklahoma club have not played since June 20th, three weeks ago! I have to wonder how the extended time off may impact Tulsa in this one, especially with the side having just one win in their last five games played as well. Picking a draw at 90’ from this one, as this one is admittedly tough to call.
Bet: Draw at 90’ (3.60)
Madison v Omaha
3.10 - 3.60 - 1.95
Madison will be looking to end their group stage campaign on a high note after having lost all three previous matches of this competition already, playing their way out of advancing. Their task to put some points on the board before bowing out of the competition is to beat a team they have not defeated inside 90’ in any of their last six meetings (and have not scored a goal against in any of their last four games against). For Omaha, the group win is still in reach if Louisville can drop points to Lexington (a far cry from Omaha losing 5-1 against Louisville in a group stage match back in May). A tad worrying, Omaha only just now ended a three match losing run, with all of those games being played away from home, with a win last week against AV Alta. Omaha have not won a road match since May 27th against the NY Cosmos (who are losing to nearly everyone these days). Madison’s last four home matches have seen three of those games go over 2.5 goals as well (with Madison scoring over 2.5 team goals in three of those games). This match I think will hinge on what lineup Madison plays for a game that in essence means very little for them, and with Omaha having more of the need to advance with a good showing, they might be more willing to go for it in this one.
Bet 1: Over 2.5 total goals (1.61)
Bet 2: Omaha ML (1.95)
Louisville v Lexington
1.61 - 4.00 - 4.00
These are the joys of the USL Cup, having these neighbors face off in pivotal group stage matches (Louisville and Lexington really ought to be in the same conference, but alas). For Louisville, a win would send them through to the knockout rounds of the competition. For a season of tumultuous performances, Louisville staying alive in this cup might offer a reprieve and opportunity to rescue what’s been a disappointing season. But Lexington, who could still advance themselves, will certainly want to play spoiler, especially at the expense of their Bluegrass rivals. However, Louisville have a perfect 5-0-0 record against Lexington in all previous matchups, Louisville scoring exactly 2 goals in each of the four previous meetings (and scoring the opening goal in three of those games). Louisville have already beaten Lexington twice this season as well, in the USOC and the league back in their early stages of the season. But circumstances of both teams’ campaigns have changed. Lexington are unbeaten in their last five played and are off the back of a major 4-1 win over Tampa Bay last weekend. I cannot believe I am about to make this pick, but I think we have a good chance for an upset in this game…
Bet 1: Lexington ML (4.00)
Bet 2: Lexington to score first (2.60)
Bet 3: Over 2.5 total goals (1.61)
Corpus Christi v Knoxville
2.62 - 4.00 - 2.05
The top of Group 3 may be out of reach for both of these teams, but this match offers a chance to see how Corpus Christi are progressing against the top teams of USL1, in this case, Knoxville. Having already drawn their two previous meetings on the year thus far (most recently a 2-2 game back in May), can either side find a winner on Saturday? For Knoxville, they have won four of their last five games played in all competitions, while Corpus Christi have put three wins from their last five played on the board (and are unbeaten in their last six home games). Both of these teams are on the upswing in recent weeks and this is a pairing of more unusual travel for any side on the visiting end of this fixture. While their USL Cup runs may reach an end after tomorrow, this game still has plenty of intrigue for me.
Bet 1: Corpus Christi to score first (2.05)
Bet 2: Draw at 90’ (4.00)
El Paso v New Mexico
2.40 - 3.60 - 2.40
If there is another match to watch tomorrow night, it’s this one. While Colorado Springs have won the group already, the winner of El Paso v New Mexico (another rivalry no less), will have an excellent claim to being the best second place finisher of the group stage on nine points. Are New Mexico back; the side have not lost any of their last six games, scoring first in each match and keeping four clean sheets in that time. El Paso meanwhile ended a five match winless skid with a 2-1 result over Las Vegas last week, their first time scoring multiple goals in a game since May. El Paso picked up a draw last time out against New Mexico, and 4-0 win in the Open Cup back in April, so while the hosts can show their strength in a game against New Mexico, I’m backing the visitors in this one given the favorable odds.
Bet 1: New Mexico ML (2.40)
Bet 2: New Mexico to score first (1.90)
San Antonio v Chattanooga
1.33 - 5.50 - 5.50
Group 3 really has been the group of teams from the far reaches of USL, with every away day being one of immense travel distances. For San Antonio, a win will clinch the group and send them into the knockouts, and all that is standing in their way is a Chattanooga team rock bottom of the group standings on just 2 points (and the Red Wolves already lost last week in Texas away at Corpus Christi). While I may have some pause over San Antonio in league play in recent weeks, they should have more than enough to get the job done tomorrow to send them into knockouts.
Bet: San Antonio ML (1.33)
Boise v Sacramento
2.50 - 3.75 - 2.25
For what has been a lackluster league season, Sacramento are still atop of the Group 1 standings and can book a spot in knockouts with a win away at Boise. Though the path is more unlikely, a win for Boise could throw their hat into the ring for a chance to advance as group winners, provided they get some help from Oakland. A matchup like this reminds me of Nate Miller's former San Diego Loyal taking on Sacramento Republic, and if this game is anything like those contests were, we should be in for a fun one tomorrow night. Republic’s form of recent weeks has been more inconsistent, just two wins from their last five games played, but so has Boise’s form (three wins from their last five played, but none were consecutive wins). I look to Sacramento’s record of just one goal allowed in this group stage thus far and I believe that will be the key to seeing the visitors advance, if they can keep this game low-scoring.
Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (2.25)
Monterey Bay v Las Vegas
2.15 - 3.75 - 2.60
For both sides, neither of these teams will be moving on in the competition after tomorrow given they sit at the foot of the group standings. However, that does not mean this game will be for naught. I look at this match as setting the tone for the USLC Western Conference’s lower half of the table as the current USLC West #11 (Las Vegas) takes on the #12 (Monterey Bay) in this match. Monterey Bay to their credit have turned it around after what was a horrid start to the season, as it seems their 4-3 defeat to Boise back in May has galvanized the team. MBFC are just one defeat in the seven games that’s followed including three clean sheets in that time. For Las Vegas, it’s three defeats from their last four games played, and just one win (last time away, against Birmingham) away from home this season. This match might set the pecking order for these two teams for the league season ahead, and I think it will be Monterey Bay getting the better of the Lights tomorrow.
Bet: Monterey Bay ML (2.15)
Orange County v Colorado Springs
2.50 - 3.75 - 2.25
For as well as Orange County have done in the league this year, their USL Cup group stage has been the opposite, three losses from three games. For Colorado Springs, they have since clinched Group 2’s first place and their spot in knockouts. As a match for both teams, this might very well be a game that has rotated squads in the starting XIs, so check with caution before making a wager in this game. But Orange County are unbeaten in their last five games played across all competitions and have seen BTTS - Yes scorelines in each of those five games. After a six match road trip, OC are back at home and I think pick up a win to hold their heads high after this group stage draws to a close.
Bet: Orange County ML (2.50)
AV Alta v Phoenix
No odds as of writing
Closing out the group stage round with AV Alta hosting Phoenix Rising. Both sides will not be advancing due to finishing with fewer points than the winner El Paso v New Mexico, the two teams in front of both sides facing off as well this round. Phoenix enter this match with no wins from any of their last five games played, and no wins away from home since May 2nd. For AV Alta, their four match winning streak has since gave way to a winless run of three games in a row as they’ve met Omaha and Charlotte in their last two games (two of USL1’s better opposition). However, AV Alta have shown with just one defeat at home this season, this is not an easy ground to visit, especially notable with this Phoenix team having been outscored 11-2 in the four road games played since then. Still though, this offers a chance for Phoenix to end this run of bad form against an AV Alta team who might be overperforming their expectations at the moment. Hesitantly, taking Phoenix to get a result in this one.
Bet: Phoenix win or draw
Parlays
ML Parlay:
San Antonio, Hartford, Tampa Bay ML parlay (2.22)
Portland, Charleston, New Mexico ML parlay (6.26)
Orange County, Monterey Bay ML parlay (5.37)
Goals Parlay:
Over 2.5 total goals:
Charleston v Charlotte, Madison v Omaha, Louisville v Lexington (4.10)
Hartford v Westchester, Portland v NY Cosmos (2.14)
Under 2.5 total goals: Pittsburgh v Loudoun and Boise v Sacramento (4.83)
Underdog Parlay:
Lexington or draw, Corpus Christi or draw (3.39)
Kaylor Hodges ™ No-Draws in USL Cup Matches Parlay (without AV Alta v Phoenix): 21.90
Non-USL Related Bets
Other Soccer:
World Cup
Norway v England
England to qualify, BTTS - Yes (2.50)
Haaland (NOR) ATGS (2.20)
Kane (ENG) ATGS (1.83)
Nyland (NOR) 4+ saves, Pickford (ENG) 2+ saves (2.15)
England win or draw first half, Under 1.5 first half goals (1.61)
Argentina v Switzerland
Argentina win to nil (2.50)
Messi (ARG) ATGS (1.83)
Argentina halftime/fulltime (2.87)
Kobel (SUI) 4+ saves (1.72)
Other Sports:
NASCAR - Quaker State 400 at EchoPark Speedway (Atlanta)
Manufacturer Top Driver:
Chevy: Chase Elliott (5.50)
Ford: Ryan Blaney (3.40)
Toyota: Christopher Bell (5.50)
Placement Bets:
Ryan Blaney top five finish (2.80)
Chase Elliot top five finish (3.20)
Carson Hocevar top ten finish (1.90)
Austin Cindric top ten finish (2.25)
Daniel Suarez top ten finish (2.40)
Head-to-Head Bets:
Carson Hocevar H2H v Austin Cindric (2.00)
Christopher Bell H2H v Brad Keselowski (1.80)
William Byron H2H v Chase Briscoe (1.80)
Ty Gibbs H2H v Chris Buescher (2.00)
Bubba Wallace H2H v Ross Chastain (1.76)
Ryan Blaney H2H v Kyle Larson (1.76)
Outright Winner:
Chase Elliott (13.00)
William Byron (15.00)
Either to win: 7.50
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